2007 ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE PERIOD : Feb 12 - Feb 16

Current Fundamentals

Currency

Economic Indicator

Release

Date

Release

Time

London

Release Time EST

New York

Previous Consensus Actual

USD

US Treasury Budget - Jan

ICSC Store Sales Index - Feb 10

Trade Balance - Dec

Trade Exports - Dec

Trade Imports - Dec

Redbook Retail Sales - Feb 10

ABC Consumer Conf - Feb 11

MBA Purchase Index - Feb 3

Retail Sales - Jan

Retail Sales (ex-autos) - Jan

Business Inventories - Dec

Crude Inventories - Jan 26

Motor Gasoline Inventories - Jan 26

Initial Claims - Feb 10

State Benefits - Feb 3

Export Price Index all (MoM) - Jan

Export Price Index excl. Agr (MoM) - Jan

Export Price Index all (YoY) - Jan

Export Price Index excl. Agr (YoY) - Jan

Import Price Index (MoM) - Jan

Import Price Index (YoY) - Jan

Import Price Index excl. Oil (MoM) - Jan

Import Price Index excl. Oil (YoY) - Jan

NY Fed Manufacturing Index - Feb

Treasury International Capital Inflows Net - Dec

Industrial Production - Jan

Capacity Utilization - Jan

DJ-BTMU Business Barometer - Feb 3

Philadelphia Fed Business Index - Feb

Philadelphia Fed Prices Paid - Feb

NAHB Housing Market Index - Feb

Core PPI excl food & energy (MoM) - Jan

Core PPI exl food & energy (YoY) - Jan

PPI (MoM) - Jan

PPI (YoY) - Jan

Housing Starts - Jan

Building Permits - Jan

Housing Completions - Jan

Mich. Univer. Consumer Sent. Index Prel. - Feb

Feb 12

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

19:00

12:45

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:55

22:00

12:00

13:30

13:30

15:00

15:30

15:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

14:00

14:15

14:15

15:00

17:00

17:00

18:00

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

15:00

14:00

07:45

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:55

17:00

07:00

08:30

08:30

10:00

10:30

10:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

09:00

09:15

09:15

10:00

12:00

12:00

13:00

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

10:00

$41.96Br2

1.3%

-$58.12Br4

$124.76B

$183.00B

1.7%

-1

404.7

1.2%r7

1.3%r8

0.4%

-0.4M

+2.6M

313Kr10

2489Kr11

0.7%r12

0.5%

4.6%

3.8%

1.1%r13

2.5%

0.5%r14

1.7%

9.13

$70.5Br18

0.5%r19

81.8%

0.2%

8.3

12.0

35

0.2%

2.0%

0.9%

1.1%

1643Kr24

1613Kr25

1902Kr26

96.9

$40.0B

n/f

-$59.5B

$125.5B

$185.0B

n/f

n/f

n/f

0.3%

0.3%

0.3%

n/f

n/f

310K

n/f

n/f

n/f

n/f

n/f

-0.9%

0.1%

-0.2%

n/f

11.0

$60.0B

0.0%

81.7%

n/f

5.0

n/f

34

0.2%

1.8%

-0.5%

0.4%

1600K

1590K

n/f

97.0

$38.24B

-0.8%

-$61.18B

$125.54B

$186.72B

-1.4%

-3

400.7

0.0%

0.3%

0.0%

-0.6M

-2.0M

357K

2560K

0.3%

0.3%

4.1%

3.3%

-1.2%

0.1%

0.0%

1.6%

24.35

-$11.0B

-0.5%

81.2%

0.0%

0.6

15.8

40

0.2%

1.8%

-0.6%

0.2%

1408K

1568K

1880K

93.3

Euro

Germany: GDP Prel. (QoQ) - Q4

Germany: GDP Prel. annualised n.s.a. (YoY) - Q4

Germany: GDP Prel. annualised w.d.a (YoY) - Q4
France: GDP Prel. (QoQ) - Q4

France: GDP Prel. (YoY) - Q4

Spain: GDP Prel. (QoQ) - Q4

Spain: GDP Prel. (YoY) - Q4

Italy: GDP Prel. (QoQ) - Q4

Italy: GDP Prel. (YoY) - Q4

Eurozone: GDP Prel. estimate (QoQ) - Q4

Eurozone: GDP Prel. estimate (YoY) - Q4

Eurozone: GDP Projection - Q1

Eurozone: GDP Projection - Q2

Eurozone: GDP Projection - Q3

Germany: ZEW (Economic Sentiment) - Feb

Germany: ZEW (Current Situation) - Feb

Eurozone: ZEW (Economic Sentiment) - Feb

Eurozone: ZEW (Current Situation) - Feb
Eurozone: Ind. Production s.a. (MoM) - Dec

Eurozone: Ind. Production w.d.a. (YoY) - Dec

Italy: Current Account (YoY) - Dec

Germany: CPI Final (MoM) - Jan

Germany: CPI Final (YoY) - Jan

Germany: CPI Final EU Harmonised (MoM) - Jan

Germany: CPI Final EU Harmonised (YoY) - Jan

France: Current Account s.a. - Dec
France: Hourly Earnings Prel. (QoQ) - Qtr 4

France: Monthly Earnings Prel. (YoY) - Qtr 4

France: Non-farm Payrolls (QoQ) - Qtr 4 !1

Italy: Trade Balance Total - Dec

Italy: Trade Balance (EU) - Dec
Eurozone Trade Balance n.s.a. - Dec

Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. - Dec

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 14

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

Feb 16

07:00

07:00

07:00

07:40

07:40

08:00

08:00

09:00

09:00

10:00

10:00

10:00

10:00

10:00

10:00

10:00

10:00

10:00

10:00

10:00

16:15

07:00

07:00

07:00

07:00

07:45

07:45

07:45

07:45

09:00

09:00

10:00

10:00

02:00

02:00

02:00

02:40

02:40

03:00

03:00

04:00

04:00

05:00

05:00

05:00

05:00

05:00

05:00

05:00

05:00

05:00

05:00

05:00

11:15

02:00

02:00

02:00

02:00

02:45

02:45

02:45

02:45

04:00

04:00

05:00

05:00

0.8%r3

2.6%r3

3.1%r3

0.0%

1.9%

0.9%

3.8%

0.3%

1.7%

0.5%

2.7%

0.3-0.8%

0.3-0.9%

n/a

-3.6

70.6

-1.8

66.1

0.2%

2.5%

- ˆ2.6B

0.8%

1.4%

0.9%

1.4%

-ˆ2.25Br21

1.0%

0.8%

0.1%

- ˆ918M

n/a

ˆ5.1Br22

ˆ4.4Br23

0.6%

3.2%

2.9%

0.5%

2.1%

1.0%

3.9%

0.3%

2.0%

0.6%

3.0%

n/f

n/f

n/f

10.0

66.0

n/f

n/f

0.3%

2.6%

n/f

-0.2%

1.6%

-0.2%

1.8%

n/f

n/f

n/f

n/f

-ˆ1100M

n/f

ˆ2.0B

n/f

0.9%

3.5%

3.7%

0.6%-0.7%

2.0%

1.1%

4.0%

1.1%

2.9%

0.9%

3.3%

0.4-0.8%

0.4-0.9%

0.3-0.9%

2.9

70.9

6.8

66.7

1.0%

4.0%

- €1.41B

-0.2%

1.6%

-0.2%

1.8%

- €2.92B

0.3%

0.4%

n/a

-€0.591B

-€1.1B

€2.5B

€0.7B

GBP

PPI Output (MoM) n.s.a. - Jan

PPI Output (YoY) n.s.a. - Jan

PPI Input (MoM) s.a. - Jan

PPI Input (YoY) n.s.a. - Jan

PPI Output Core (MoM) s.a. - Jan

PPI Output Core (YoY) n.s.a. - Jan
DCLG (ODPM) House Prices (YoY) - Dec

Leading Indicator - Dec

Coincident Index - Dec

Retail Price Index (MoM) - Jan

Retail Price Index (YoY) - Jan

Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM) - Jan

CPI (YoY) - Dec

CPI Core (MoM) - Dec

CPI Core (YoY) - Dec

Claimant Count Rate - Jan

Claimant Count Change - Jan

ILO Unemployment Rate - Jan

Earnings excl. bonus (3M/YoY) - Dec

Earnings incl. bonus (3M/YoY) - Dec

Manufacturing Unit Wage Costs (3M/YoY) - Dec

RICS House Prices (MoM) - Jan

Retail Sales (MoM) - Jan

Retail Sales (YoY) - Jan

Feb 12

Feb 12

Feb 12

Feb 12

Feb 12

Feb 12

Feb 12

Feb 12

Feb 12

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

09:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

15:30

15:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

09:30

00:01

09:30

09:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

10:30

10:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

04:30

19:01

04:30

04:30

0.2%

2.2%

0.3%r1

2.4%r1

0.1%

2.3%

8.9%

0.1%

0.2%

0.8%

4.4%

0.6%

3.0%

0.6%

1.8%

3.0%

-9.3Kr6

5.5%

3.8%

4.1%

0.5%

37.0%

1.1%

4.0%r9

0.2%

2.1%

-0.2%

0.7%

0.2%

n/f

9.5%

n/f

n/f

-0.3%

4.5%

-0.5%

3.0%

n/f

1.8%

3.0%

-6.0K

5.5%

3.8%

4.2%

n/f

35.0%

0.3%

5.5%

0.3%

2.1%

-2.0%

-1.6%

0.2%

2.2%

9.9%

0.1%

0.2%

-0.5%

4.2%

-0.8%

2.7%

-0.9%

1.6%

2.9%

-13.5K

5.5%

3.7%

4.0%

-0.2%

28.0%

-1.8%

3.3%

Yen

National Holiday - Markets Closed

Domestic CGPI (MoM) - Jan

Domestic CGPI (YoY) - Jan

Consumer Sentiment Index - Jan

Current Account n.s.a. - Dec

Trade Balance - Dec

Capacity Utilisation Final - Dec

Industrial Production Revised (MoM) - Dec

Industrial Production Revised (YoY) - Dec

GDP Prelim.(QoQ) - Qtr 4

GDP Annualised - Qtr 4

GDP Deflator (QoQ) - Qtr 4

Tokyo Condominium Sales (YoY) - Jan

Tertiary Activity Index (MoM) - Dec

Leading Indicator Revised - Dec

Coincident Index Revised - Dec

Feb 12

Feb 12

Feb 12

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 14

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 16

Feb 16

-

23:50

23:50

05:00

23:50

23:50

04:30

04:30

04:30

23:50

23:50

23:50

04:00

23:50

05:00

05:00

-

18:50

18:50

00:00

18:50

18:50

23:30

23:30

23:30

18:50

18:50

18:50

23:00

18:50

00:00

00:00

-

0.0%

2.5%

45.9

Y1756B

Y1032B

107.5

0.8%

4.9%

0.2%

0.8%

-0.7%

1.5%

-0.1%r20

18.2

65.0

-

0.0%

2.4%

n/f

Y2015B

Y1180B

n/f

0.7%

4.6%

0.8%

3.6%

-0.5%

n/f

-0.2%

25.0

61.1

-

-0.2%

2.2%

48.1

Y1777B

Y1219B

109.3

0.9%

4.8%

1.2%

4.8%

-0.5%

-11.6%

-0.4%

31.8

75.0

CHF

 

Retail Sales (YoY) s.a. - Dec

 

Feb 16

 

 

08:15

 

03:15

 

3.3%

 

2.5%

 

9.2%

AUD

NAB Business Conditions Survey (MoM) - Jan

Westpac Consumer Confidence - Feb

House Price Index (QoQ) - Qtr 4

Tourist Arrivals s.a. (MoM) - Dec

Tourist Arrivals (YoY) - Dec

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 15

Feb 16

Feb 16

00:30

23:30

00:30

00:30

00:30

19:30

18:30

19:30

19:30

19:30

4

109.6

2.2%

2.3%

3.1%

n/f

n/f

1.4%

n/f

n/f

6.5

111.4

0.9%

-1.2%

3.5%

CAD

New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) - Dec

Merchandise Trade Balance in CAD - Dec

Trade Exports - Dec

Trade Imports - Dec

Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) - Dec

Manufacturing Inventories (MoM) - Dec

Manufacturing New Orders (MoM) - Dec


Feb 14

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 15

Feb 15

Feb 15

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

13:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

08:30

3.0%

$4.72Br5

2.8%

0.4%

2.4%r15

0.2%r16

3.4%r17

4.8%

$4.5B

0.4%

0.3%

0.4%

n/f

n/f

5.6%

$4.98B

3.8%

3.6%

1.7%

-0.6%

2.1%

NZD

Producer Prices (Inputs (QoQ) - Qtr 4

Producer Prices Outputs (QoQ) - Qtr 4

ANZ PMI - Dec

Food Prices (MoM) - Jan

Food Prices (YoY) - Jan

Retail Sales (MoM) - Dec

Retail Sales excl. autos (MoM) - Dec

Feb 12

Feb 12

Feb 15

Feb 13

Feb 13

Feb 14

Feb 14

21:45

21:45

11:00

21:45

21:45

21:45

21:45

16:45

16:45

06:00

16:45

16:45

16:45

16:45

2.0%

0.7%

54.2

-0.5%

2.7%

-0.2%

-0.1%

0.1%

-0.4%

n/f

n/f

n/f

n/f

n/f

-0.3%

-0.5%

56.0

1.4%

3.4%

0.7%

0.2%

Source: TodayFx.com - Red denotes interest rate indicators and monetary policy releases green denotes key GDP indicators. Release dates and times have been known to change, so please review regularly.

n/f = no forecast.

Prel = Preliminary and not final. P = Provisional and not final. N/A = Not available or not released - return for update.

r = revised from previous release.

 

!1 France non-farm payrolls for quarter 4 will not now be available until March 15.

 

r1 UK PPI Input for December was revised: (MoM) s.a. from 0.1% to 0.3%; (YoY) n.s.a. from 1.9% to 2.3%

r2 US Treasury Budget in November revised from $44.53B to $41.96B

r3 German GDP for quarter 3 revised upwards from 0.6% (QoQ) to 0.8% and n.s.a from 2.3% (YoY) to 2.6%.

r3 German GDP work day adjusted for Quarter 3 (YoY) revised from 2.8% to 3.1%.

r4 US Trade Deficit for November revised from $58.23B to $58.12B

r5 Canada's Trade Surplus for November revised from $4.67B to $4.72B.

r6 UK Claimant Count Change for December was revised from 5.5K to 9.3K

r7 US Retail Sales for December were revised from 0.9% to 1.2%

r8 US Retail Sales excl. autos for December were revised from 1.0% to 1.3%

r9 UK Retail Sales in December (YoY) revised from 3.7% to 4.0%.

r10 US Initial Claims for the week ending Feb 3 were revised from 311K to 313K

r11 US State Benefits for the week ending Jan 27 were revised from 2490K to 2489K

r12 US Export Price Index (MoM) for December was revised from 0.1% to 0.7%

r13 US Import Price Index (MoM) for December was revised from 1.0% to 1.1%

r14 US Import Price Index excl. Oil (MoM) for December was revised from 0.4% to 0.5%

r15 Canada's Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) for November were revised from 2.5% to 2.4%

r16 Canada's Manufacturing Inventories (MoM) for November were revised from 0.3% to 0.2%

r17 Canada's Manufacturing New Orders (MoM) for November were revised from 3.9% to 3.4%

r18 US Treasury International Capital Inflows Net for November were revised from $74.9B to $70.5B

r19 US Industrial Production for December was revised from 0.4% to 0.5%

r20 Japan's Tertiary Activity Index for November was revised from -0.3% to -0.1%.

r21 France's Current Account deficit in November revised from €3.0B to €2.25B.

r22 Eurozone's Trade Surplus not seasonally adjusted for November revised from €3.1B to €5.1B.

r23 Eurozone's seasonally adjusted Trade Surplus for November revised from €4.5B to €4.4B.

r24 US housing Starts in December were revised from 1642K to 1643K.

r25 US Building Permits for December were revised upwards to 1613K from 1596K.

r26 US Housing Completions for December were revised from 1900K to 1902K.

Key Speeches/Announcements/Meetings to note this week (times are London time):

EUR: Feb 12 - European Parliament to hold Plenary Session (12th - 15th Feb)

AUD: Feb 12 at 00:30 - RBA Quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy

WLD: Feb 13 - IEA to release monthly Oil Market Report

GBP: Feb 14 at 10:30 - BoE Present Inflation Report

USD: Feb 14 at 15:00 - US Fed's Bernanke testifies to Congress Get Statement

AUD: Feb 15 at 00:30 - RBA Release Bulletin

EUR: Feb 15 at 09:00 - ECB Release Monthly Bulletin

WLD: Feb 15 - OPEC to Release Monthly Oil Market Report

 

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